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International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management

A Peer-Reviewed, Open-Access International Journal Supporting Multidisciplinary Research, Digital Publishing Standards, DOI Registration, and Academic Indexing.
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ISSN: 3108-1754 (Online)
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ISO Certification: 9001:2015
Publication Fee: 599/- INR
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License: CC BY 4.0
Peer Review: Double Blind
Volume 02, Issue 6

Published on: June 2026

A RANDOM FOREST-BASED INTELLIGENT DUTY-CYCLE PREDICTION FRAMEWORK FOR HIGH-EFFICIENCY DC–DC CONVERTER CONTROL

Jaya Mishra Vishnu kumar Sahu

Shruti Tiwari

Department of Electronics & Telecommunication, Shri Shankaracharya Technical Campus, Bhilai (C.G.), INDIA

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Plagiarism Passed Peer Reviewed Open Access

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Abstract

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources in modern microgrids has created a growing need for intelligent and efficient power converter control strategies capable of handling dynamic operating conditions. This paper presents a machine-learning-based framework for the optimal design and control of a DC–DC converter in renewable-energy-based microgrid applications. The proposed approach utilizes key operational parameters, including photovoltaic (PV) voltage, PV current, PV power, load demand, output voltage, and output current, to predict the optimal converter duty cycle and enhance overall system performance. A Random Forest regression model is developed to capture the nonlinear relationship between converter operating conditions and duty-cycle requirements. The proposed controller is evaluated using comprehensive performance metrics, including duty-cycle prediction accuracy, error distribution analysis, voltage regulation performance, dynamic response characteristics, and feature importance assessment. Furthermore, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) based on SHAP (SHapley Additive Explanations) is incorporated to improve model transparency and identify the dominant parameters influencing converter control decisions. Simulation results demonstrate excellent agreement between actual and predicted duty-cycle values, with prediction errors concentrated near zero, indicating high accuracy and robustness. The dynamic response analysis confirms stable voltage regulation with fast settling behavior and negligible overshoot. SHAP and feature importance analyses reveal that PV voltage and output voltage are the most influential factors governing duty-cycle prediction. The proposed framework effectively improves voltage regulation, reduces converter losses, enhances energy conversion efficiency, and provides interpretable decision-making capabilities. Therefore, it offers a reliable and intelligent solution for next-generation renewable-energy microgrids and smart power management systems.

Keywords— DC–DC Converter, Renewable Energy Systems, Microgrid, Machine Learning, Random Forest Regression, Duty-Cycle Prediction, Voltage Regulation, Converter Efficiency, Power Loss Minimization, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), SHAP Analysis, Intelligent Control, Photovoltaic Systems, Energy Management, Smart Grid.

How to Cite this Paper

Mishra, J. & Sahu, V. K. (2026). A Random Forest-Based Intelligent Duty-Cycle Prediction Framework for High-Efficiency Dc–Dc Converter Control. International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, <i>02</i>(6). https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i6.333

Mishra, Jaya, and Vishnu Sahu. "A Random Forest-Based Intelligent Duty-Cycle Prediction Framework for High-Efficiency Dc–Dc Converter Control." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 02, no. 6, 2026, pp. . doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i6.333.

Mishra, Jaya, and Vishnu Sahu. "A Random Forest-Based Intelligent Duty-Cycle Prediction Framework for High-Efficiency Dc–Dc Converter Control." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management 02, no. 6 (2026). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i6.333.

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References

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Ethical Compliance & Review Process

  • All submissions are screened under plagiarism detection.
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  • Peer Review Type: Double-Blind Peer Review
  • Published on: Jun 26 2026
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