IJCOPE Journal

UGC Logo DOI / ISO Logo

International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management

A Peer-Reviewed, Open-Access International Journal Supporting Multidisciplinary Research, Digital Publishing Standards, DOI Registration, and Academic Indexing.
Journal Information
ISSN: 3108-1754 (Online)
Crossref DOI: Available
ISO Certification: 9001:2015
Publication Fee: 599/- INR
Compliance: UGC Journal Norms
License: CC BY 4.0
Peer Review: Double Blind
Volume 02, Issue 7

Published on: July 2026

CLIMATE CHANGE-INDUCED AGRICULTURAL LOSSES IN INDIA: A CASE STUDY OF JAMMU AND KASHMIR’S APPLE AND MANGO ECONOMIES

Anmol Verma

Dr Sonia Verma

Synergetic Green Warriors Foundation
DOI:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i7.130

Article Status

Plagiarism Passed Peer Reviewed Open Access

Available Documents

Download PDF Review Report

Abstract

Global warming is intensifying heat extremes and drought, leading to annual crop losses exceeding USD 160 billion. India, where agriculture sustains over half the population, faces acute vulnerability, particularly in the Himalayan region of Jammu and Kashmir (J&K). This paper synthesizes data from scientific studies, government reports, and field surveys to quantify the unfolding agricultural crisis in J&K. Apple yields in Kashmir show a 6.10% decline per 1°C rise in summer temperature, with Baramulla district experiencing a 19.16% reduction per 1°C. Recurrent hailstorms in 2025–2026 destroyed 50–90% of the crop in several districts, inflicting economic losses of ₹6,000–7,000 crore. Concurrently, Jammu’s mango economy collapsed in 2026 due to early heatwaves and hailstorms, with local arrivals dropping by over 70%. Saffron production plummeted by 68% over two decades, from 15.9 MT in 1990 to 2.6 MT in 2023–24. The paper documents the inadequacy of current crop insurance mechanisms and proposes a framework for climate-resilient agriculture, including heat-tolerant varieties, precision irrigation, and strengthened financial safety nets. The findings underscore the urgent need for science-based adaptation to safeguard India’s mountain and sub-tropical horticultural assets.

Keywords: climate change, agriculture, apple, mango, saffron, crop loss, Jammu and Kashmir, India, synergetic green warriors foundation.

How to Cite this Paper

Verma, A. (2026). Climate Change-Induced Agricultural Losses in India: A Case Study of Jammu and Kashmir’s Apple and Mango Economies. International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, <i>02</i>(7), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i7.130

Verma, Anmol. "Climate Change-Induced Agricultural Losses in India: A Case Study of Jammu and Kashmir’s Apple and Mango Economies." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 02, no. 7, 2026, pp. 1-9. doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i7.130.

Verma, Anmol. "Climate Change-Induced Agricultural Losses in India: A Case Study of Jammu and Kashmir’s Apple and Mango Economies." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management 02, no. 7 (2026): 1-9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i7.130.

Search & Index

Google Scholar Crossref DOI ResearchGate

References


  1. Centre for Science and Environment. (2025). State of India’s environment 2025: Extreme weather events. New Delhi: CSE.

  2. Hwong, Y. L., Kornhuber, K., & others. (2026, April). Global crop losses from heat and drought under climate change. Paper presented at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria.

  3. India Meteorological Department. (2025). Annual climate summary 2024. New Delhi: IMD.

  4. Jammu and Kashmir Department of Agriculture. (2025). Saffron production statistics and crop report 2024–25. Srinagar: Government of J&K.

  5. Jammu and Kashmir Department of Horticulture. (2026). Preliminary hail damage assessment for apple crop, 2025–2026. Srinagar: Government of J&K.

  6. Khan, S. A., Dar, R. A., & Mir, M. S. (2025). Snow cover and temperature trends in Jammu and Kashmir (1974–2024). Journal of Himalayan Ecology, 12(3), 45–62.

  7. NITI Aayog. (2023). Climate vulnerability assessment of Indian Himalayan Region. New Delhi: Government of India.

  8. Sharma, R. (2026). Mango hopper (Amritodus atkinsoni) expansion under warming scenarios in North India. Journal of Pest Science, 99(2), 401–412. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-026-00899-x

  9. TERI School of Advanced Studies. (2025). Climate sensitivity of apple yields in Jammu and Kashmir[Unpublished research report]. New Delhi: TERI SAS.

  10. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. (2025). Climate risk and agriculture in Asia-Pacific: Regional assessment report. Bangkok: ESCAP.

Ethical Compliance & Review Process

  • •All submissions are screened under plagiarism detection.
  • •Review follows editorial policy.
  • •Authors retain copyright.
  • •Peer Review Type: Double-Blind Peer Review
  • •Published on: Jul 13 2026
CCBYNC

This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. You are free to share and adapt this work for non-commercial purposes with proper attribution.

View License
Back to Volume 02, Issue 7View All Issues Next Article

← Previous Article

Caste atrocities: analysis of their continuous existence

Next Article →

Comparative Hirshfeld Surface Analysis of the Enol and Diketo Tautomers of Curcumin: Insights into Crystal Packing and Intermolecular Interactions
Scroll to Top