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International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management

A Peer-Reviewed, Open-Access International Journal Supporting Multidisciplinary Research, Digital Publishing Standards, DOI Registration, and Academic Indexing.
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ISSN: 3108-1754 (Online)
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License: CC BY 4.0
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Volume 02, Issue 01

Published on: January 2026

IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Priya V. Shah Sneha M. Kulkarni

Dr. Aman J. Verma

Department of Environmental Science
Horizon College of Science

Article Status

Plagiarism Passed Peer Reviewed Open Access

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Abstract

The accelerating pace of climate change poses significant risks to agricultural systems around the globe. This study analyzes the impact of climate variability and long‑term climatic trends on agricultural productivity over recent decades using time‑series data from multiple climatic and agricultural databases. Through statistical modeling and econometric analysis, the research identifies the relationship between temperature fluctuations, precipitation patterns, extreme weather events, and crop yields for staple crops such as wheat, maize, and rice across diverse geographical regions. Results indicate that rising temperatures and increased variability in precipitation significantly depress yields, with heterogeneous effects across zones. Notably, semi‑arid regions show amplified negative impacts compared to temperate zones. The study underscores the importance of adaptive strategies to buffer agricultural systems against climate stressors and emphasizes policy interventions that foster resilience in food production. These findings contribute to improved climate‑agriculture integration in environmental and agricultural policy frameworks.

How to Cite this Paper

Shah, P. V. & Kulkarni, S. M. (2026). Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity: A Time Series Analysis. International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, <i>02</i>(01), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i1.006

Shah, Priya, and Sneha Kulkarni. "Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity: A Time Series Analysis." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 02, no. 01, 2026, pp. 1-9. doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i1.006.

Shah, Priya, and Sneha Kulkarni. "Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity: A Time Series Analysis." International Journal of Creative and Open Research in Engineering and Management 02, no. 01 (2026): 1-9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijcope.v2i1.006.

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  • Published on: Jan 27 2026
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